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GMO Forum If we are what we eat, with all the genetically modified and imitation foods we now eat, what the heck are we? - anonymous

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Old 4th-June-2008, 12:03 PM
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Originally Posted by forfismum View Post
When I mentioned the ban on growing rape near schools you said that I lived in a funny country.This funny country used the Scottish experience to advise against growing the stuff anywhere near schools,as did HMG.

Not withstanding all the to-ing and fro-ing about the long term damage possibilites of GMO's I want to make just one observation .This technology is about profit and profit alone.
Indeed I do think you live in a funny country if your government mistakes correlation for causation, particularly when that correlation is in a different country. But then I have always thought politicians make odd decisions.

GM crops are certainly about profit. As indeed are any other cultivar of crop sold. If the seed sellers can't make a profit on their operations they go broke. Equally, in most countries if farmers cannot make money they go broke. I understand parts of the EU are different where farming is more landscape gardening than a business.

However, I should point out that some GM crops are not about profit. Farmers adopt Bt cotton in Australia so they don't have to spray insecticides. Farmers in China adopted Bt cotton so they didn't have to poison themselves with insecticides. Canadian farmers adopted GM canola so they didn't have to cultivate the soil. US farmers adopted GM soybeans so they could spend less time plowing their land and more time doing other things.
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Old 4th-June-2008, 12:16 PM
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Originally Posted by Cricket Tragic View Post
Indeed I do think you live in a funny country if your government mistakes correlation for causation, particularly when that correlation is in a different country. But then I have always thought politicians make odd decisions.
So you recommend that folks stick their hands in the fire to prove for themselves that it burns? Excellent approach.

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GM crops are certainly about profit.
Profit for Monsanto el al,that's all its about ,the rest is just sales talk.
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Old 4th-June-2008, 01:07 PM
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Originally Posted by forfismum
So you recommend that folks stick their hands in the fire to prove for themselves that it burns? Excellent approach.
No, just do a proper risk assessment. Using a single survey Evidence that oilseed rape (Brassica napus ssp. ol...[Scott Med J. 1995] - PubMed Result with no cause linked to effect as a way of making a decision doesn’t strike me as the ideal way forward. This is the sort of thing that results in an MMR debacle. I am not that fussed by it, if people want to live their lives jumping at shadows rather than doing rigorous risk assessments, that is no skin off my nose (unless I get caught up in it).

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Originally Posted by forfismum
Profit for Monsanto el al,that's all its about ,the rest is just sales talk.
Not according to this study: AgBioForum 9(3): Global Impact of Biotech Crops: Socio-Economic and Environmental Effects in the First Ten Years of Commercial Use or this one: AgBioForum 2(2): Farm-Level Production Effects Related To The Adoption Of Genetically Modified Cotton For Pest Management or AgBioForum 7(3): Economic Impact of Genetically Modified Cotton in India AgBioForum 5(1): Benefits from Bt Cotton Use by Smallholder Farmers in South Africa AgBioForum 2(2): The Distribution Of Benefits From The Introduction Of Transgenic Cotton Varieties

Of course, like everything it is not all plain sailing for everyone, but enough farmers have benefitted for 125 million of them to be planting these crops this year.
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Old 4th-June-2008, 01:17 PM
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Originally Posted by Cricket Tragic View Post
No, just do a proper risk assessment. Using a single survey Evidence that oilseed rape (Brassica napus ssp. ol...[Scott Med J. 1995] - PubMed Result with no cause linked to effect as a way of making a decision doesn’t strike me as the ideal way forward. This is the sort of thing that results in an MMR debacle. I am not that fussed by it, if people want to live their lives jumping at shadows rather than doing rigorous risk assessments, that is no skin off my nose (unless I get caught up in it).
Its the duty of parents to look after their children and the State also has a duty to take precautions where there is a risk , however slight ,to their health. The MMR scare is on par with AGW when it comes to scientific fraud



You can quote all the studies you like but these seeds are not free,your friends in the chemical industry are not charities and if GMO's spread then the farmers and consumers will be held tightly by the genitals.
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Old 4th-June-2008, 04:30 PM
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Originally Posted by Cricket Tragic View Post
screener, I admit to being a little confused about what you are suggesting here, but clearly you seem to think the scientific process is somehow corrupt. The reality is that the proponents have to deliver all the research data they have to the regulators. There are substantial fines for not doing so and to be honest, there is not much benefit for the company in holding information back. That information will come out eventually.

The regulators have a list of issues which need to be addressed in the applications. The terms of reference for these are not open to interpretation, as they are usually set in legislation. The data is then assessed by independent scientists within the regulator, or external experts if the regulators feel the need. If the scientists are not happy with the quality of the information supplied, they send the application back for more information. Only once the scientists within the regulatory process are satisfied that the product is likely to be no more dangerous to human health or the environment, is it moved on. The regulatory process can take quite a long time because all the issues need to be dealt with.

I would never suggest that the scientific process is corrupt, Heaven forbid. I would say though that it is corruptible, and that the corps and the people who lead them with their child like insecutities and vast wealth are just the people to do the corrupting. What reality do you inhabit where the proponents have to deliver all the research data available?

The terms of reference are as open to interpretation as anything else that is set in stone, like the ten commandments, a source of endless disagreements.

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Old 4th-June-2008, 10:32 PM
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CT, you are absolutely spot on regarding your comments about a scientist in Canada if he was asked the same question in respect of the reported health complaints in Canada (which appear to be zero). However, it would appear you are taking this out of context. If the scientist in Canada has no health complaints to study then he will have difficulty forming an opinion without referring to the learned journals.

In a situation like this, the scientist, if asked to form an opinion, would have to refer to previously published studies in other parts of the world (in the UK) in order to arrive at an informed opinion. Similarly (as forfismum says), if there were concerns raised in another part of the world regarding the potential for public health complaints in respect of oilseed rape cultivation then this should be properly investigated and assessed. As you point out CT, conducted a risk assessment is a recognised method of evaluating risks to human health. And again, the first step in any risk assessment would be to refer to published studies in order to arrive at an informed opinion in respects of the health complaints and the nature of these complaints (eg could the reported symptoms be life threatening).

If there is any doubt (based upon previously published findings) regarding potential risks to human health then, I believe, precautions should be implemented as a matter of common sense. I do not wish to draw parallels with the precautionary principle because I’m sure you are well versed with this. However, as forfismum says, public health authorities should be seen to take adequate steps in order to ensure the safety and well-being of its citizens. Failure to do so would be a breach of public duty and perhaps negligent.

I don’t think this thread is the correct location for a detailed discussion on causal factors relative to oilseed rape crops, however, I would say that the over-whelming scientific opinion is that more research is required in order to bring resolution to these public health concerns.

If I may quote from the most recent published literature;

Oilseed rape - allergen or irritant? (Galloway D.) Clinical and Experimental Allergy 2000; 30 308-309 Galloway advised; In the light of all the above evidence, it would appear that although there is a DEFINITE reaction to the oilseed rape crop, not all of this is allergic and in the absence of atopy, individuals who exhibit symptoms and increased bronchial reactivity could be reacting to VOCs [emitted from the crop] in the air.

I don’t think it would be wise for any scientist/authority conducting a risk assessment to ignore/over-look current (and previous) published literature regardless of the country of origin.

It begs serious questions regarding the integrity of those conducting environmental risk assessments in respect of the cultivation of GM crops. Do you not think it rather strange CT, that substantial equivalence is conveniently forgotten about when evaluating the risks to human health in respect of GM canola/oilseed rape? Or are you going to tell me that the corporate sponsors have engineered out this undesirable trait? No doubt (as I type) they are busy splicing away right now trying to find a solution to a problem that allegedly does not exist.

Last edited by deek; 4th-June-2008 at 10:43 PM.
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Old 5th-June-2008, 01:35 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by deek
CT, you are absolutely spot on regarding your comments about a scientist in Canada if he was asked the same question in respect of the reported health complaints in Canada (which appear to be zero). However, it would appear you are taking this out of context. If the scientist in Canada has no health complaints to study then he will have difficulty forming an opinion without referring to the learned journals.
No deek, if a scientist in Canada has looked at the epidemiology and determined that no apparent health effects are occurring in Canada, despite the very large area of canola grown in Canada, he or she would have every right to form an opinion that “they believed canola crops did not increase the prevalence of allergy symptoms in the local population who live in close proximity to the crops”. What they might understand from the literature is some concern in Scotland that people living near canola crops reported a small increase in respiratory symptoms such as sneezing cough and headache among a small number of individuals. This is correlation, not causation. The fact that the villagers reported symptoms coinciding with flowering of canola may be significant or it may be that canola flowers are so visible that their minds put 2 and 2 together. Humans are very good at finding patterns, even when no such patterns exist. The fact that reports of respiratory symptoms (I should point out that none of the symptoms reported are specific to allergies which is immunological) occurred in a village near canola crops in Scotland may have more to do with the specific environment in Scotland rather than the crop per se. This could include specific fungal spores or factors that arise because of local environmental conditions that don’t occur elsewhere.

Quote:
Originally Posted by deek
In a situation like this, the scientist, if asked to form an opinion, would have to refer to previously published studies in other parts of the world (in the UK) in order to arrive at an informed opinion.
Not necessarily so. You are assuming that no information is available elsewhere. But there is and it is all negative. I should point out that the evidence from Scotland is very slight and does fall squarely in the region of self-reported correlation. This information has been around for over a decade now and no causative effect has been identified.

Quote:
Originally Posted by deek
If there is any doubt (based upon previously published findings) regarding potential risks to human health then, I believe, precautions should be implemented as a matter of common sense. I do not wish to draw parallels with the precautionary principle because I’m sure you are well versed with this. However, as forfismum says, public health authorities should be seen to take adequate steps in order to ensure the safety and well-being of its citizens. Failure to do so would be a breach of public duty and perhaps negligent.
However, a risk assessment would determine that the highest risk of canola allergy would be from grain dust. There is quite a lot of evidence that this happens. In fact it is a very similar situation to baker’s allergy. The risk management would be to have grain handlers and farmers wear masks when handling the grain. Problem solved. Risk assessment considers both the probability of a situation occurring, the potential hazard that might result and what can be done to minimize the risks. None of the symptoms reported by Parratt et al. or Souter et al. actually carry any significant hazard to people. They might be uncomfortable for those who get them for a short period of time, but you get the same symptoms from common cold. Secondly the increase in symptoms was very small and could not be connected to the cultivation of the crop. Studies elsewhere have failed to find a connection.

Quote:
Originally Posted by deek
I don’t think this thread is the correct location for a detailed discussion on causal factors relative to oilseed rape crops, however, I would say that the over-whelming scientific opinion is that more research is required in order to bring resolution to these public health concerns.
Given that this seems to only be an issue in Scotland, a country that grows very little canola, I would suggest that a study to look at the impact of canola and other factors in that region needs to be conducted. I would also suggest that even the studies from Scotland indicate the public health concerns are slight. Perhaps any funding could be better spent on public health concerns of greater significance?

And while we are quoting the literature (OK, we are quoting editorials) perhaps these might be apt?

Murphy D.J. (1999 ) Is rapeseed really an allergenic plant? Popular myths versus scientific realities. Immunology Today 20: 511-1514.

“Coincidental with the expansion of rapeseed cultivation, there have been increases in the number of reported cases of asthma and other conditions related to allergenicity and irritancy. This has led to the creation of a powerful popular perception that rapeseed cultivation is linked to increasing allergic symptoms, particularly among populations in the vicinity of the crop[3]. Although this perception is supported by little scientific evidence, it continues to be received wisdom in both the popular and scientific press.”

"It is interesting that this extremely negative perception of rapeseed appears to be overwhelmingly concentrated in the UK. For example, in a study of 4468 patients with suspected inhalant allergy in Austria, only four individuals blamed rapeseed for their condition [16]. By contrast, a relatively large proportion of individuals with similar symptoms in the UK were inclined to attribute these to rapeseed [27]. This was particularly true if they lived or worked in the vicinity of rapeseed crops. No similar concerns have been expressed in countries such as France or Germany, despite the fact that each of these countries produces well over twice as much rapeseed as the UK.”

Hemmer, W. (1998 ) The health effects of oilseed rape: myth or reality?
No clear evidence that it has adverse effects on health. British Medical Journal 316: 1327-1328.

“Higher prevalences of headaches, cough, and wheezing—at the borderlines of statistical significance—have been described from areas of oilseed rape cultivation,10,12 but symptom scores were generally low in these studies and no correction was made for other potential factors, such as climate, that might have explained the observed differences.”

“Only in Britain has oilseed rape been suspected by the public of causing ill health effects. In other rape growing countries, such as France, Germany, Denmark, and Canada, no such public concern against oilseed rape exists. Is there some prejudice because the expansion of this crop is subsidised by the European Union, or do people simply dislike its intense smell and flashy yellow flowers? Science must never ignore potential health hazards, but so far there is little evidence to incriminate a versatile crop of economic importance as a cause of ill health.”



Quote:
Originally Posted by deek
It begs serious questions regarding the integrity of those conducting environmental risk assessments in respect of the cultivation of GM crops. Do you not think it rather strange CT, that substantial equivalence is conveniently forgotten about when evaluating the risks to human health in respect of GM canola/oilseed rape? Or are you going to tell me that the corporate sponsors have engineered out this undesirable trait? No doubt (as I type) they are busy splicing away right now trying to find a solution to a problem that allegedly does not exist.
deek, this is indeed a strange remark. In all the risk assessments of GM canola I have seen, substantial equivalence is a key component. In fact substantial equivalence is one of the things that gets quite a number of the anti-GM campaigners frothing at the mouth. Yet you are suggesting it doesn’t get used?

I very much doubt anyone is working on changing canola to reduce the symptoms observed in Scotland. As yet there is no cause identified for these symptoms, so no one would know what to change. Secondly, these symptoms appear to occur in only a miniscule region of the canola-growing landscape. Thirdly, EU politics is such that even if a crop were to be developed, permission to grow it in Scotland would never eventuate.
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Old 5th-June-2008, 04:26 AM
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It is more likely that a canadian scientist would say, what are there people living out there where this stuff is grown, He would probably say well not enough to worry about and leave it at that.

Population urban and rural, by province and territory

population urban and rural in canada.

Then this graph shows how rural populations are changing as well in one of our primary canola growing provinces.


And it has changed more since then.

There are certainly people in Canada who try to stay indoors during canola flowering and know what it is that causes the allergic reaction which they are suffering. Basically anyone suffering such allergies here is a farm family member. Wouldn't do to overlook an important aspect like that.
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Old 5th-June-2008, 05:38 PM
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Nana na na na,I have just come back fromthe supermarket and on the honey shelf all the rapeseed honey is just being left .There were 4 X 2dozen trays on the shelf and I had to get down to the 2nd last one to find any real honey.Folks dont like that rapeseed stuff.
No problem with beer ,The Tyskies was just walking off the shelves
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Old 5th-June-2008, 10:21 PM
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Hi Cricket Tragic,

Okay, I hear and accept what you are saying CT about a scientist’s right to form an opinion regarding the prevalence of allergy symptoms in the local population who live in close proximity to fields of canola in Canada.

Please remember that I am not of the opinion that there is a problem in Canada. I make this comment purely on the basis that I am not aware of any significant health complaints being generated (past or present) in Canada. So I think it is fair to say that we are not in disagreement on this point.

So in reflection, I am also of the opinion that if a risk assessment of GM canola was carried out in Canada it would be reasonable for the assessors to conclude that there are no health risks to the local population who live in close proximity to these crops. This is of course based on the assumption that there is substantial equivalence between non-GM canola and GM canola cultivated in Canada.

I trust you are in substantial agreement with my comments.

Last edited by deek; 5th-June-2008 at 10:23 PM.
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