GM crop use to double by 2015, study predicts

[bruce]

Agricultural use of genetically modified crops across the world has increased almost 70-fold in the past 10 years, breaking the 100m-hectare mark, and is set to double by 2015, according to a study released today.

The International Service for the Acquisition of Agri-biotech Application, a non-profit organisation, estimates that GM crops were last year planted on 114m hectares (282m acres) worldwide by more than 12m farmers, a 12 per cent increase on the previous year.

FT.com / Home UK / UK - GM crop use to double by 2015, study predicts

Good to see

[Cricket Tragic]

Biotech Crops Experience Remarkable Dozen Years of Double-Digit Growth

ISAAA Brief 37-2007: Press Release
Biotech Crops Experience Remarkable Dozen Years of Double-Digit Growth
Socio-economic benefits becoming evident among resource-poor farmers

MANILA, PHILIPPINES (Feb. 13, 200 – After a dozen years of commercialization, biotech crops are still gaining ground with another year of double-digit growth and new countries joining the list of supporters, according to a report released today by the International Service for the Acquisition of Agri-biotech Applications (ISAAA). In 2007, biotech crop area grew 12 percent or 12.3 million hectares to reach 114.3 million hectares, the second highest area increase in the past five years.

In addition to planting more biotech hectares, farmers are quickly adopting varieties with more than one biotech trait. These “trait hectares” grew at a swift 22 percent, or 26 million hectares, to reach 143.7 million hectares – more than double the area increase of 12.3 million hectares. New crops were also added to the list as China reported 250,000 biotech poplar trees planted. The insect-resistant trees can contribute to reforestation efforts.

Further, 2 million more farmers planted biotech crops last year to total 12 million farmers globally enjoying the advantages from the improved technology. Notably, 9 out of 10, or 11 million of the benefiting farmers, were resource-poor farmers, exceeding the 10-million milestone for the first time. In fact, the number of developing countries (12) planting biotech crops surpassed the number of industrialized countries (11), and the growth rate in the developing world was three times that of industrialized nations (21 percent compared to 6 percent.)

“With increasing food prices globally, the benefits of biotech crops have never been more important,” said Clive James, chairman and founder of ISAAA and the report’s author. “Already those farmers who began adopting biotech crops a few years ago are beginning to see socio-economic advantages compared to their peers who haven’t adopted the crops. If we are to achieve the Millennium Development Goals (MDGs) of cutting hunger and poverty in half by 2015, biotech crops must play an even bigger role in the next decade.”

According to the report, biotech crops have delivered unprecedented benefits that contribute toward the MDGs, particularly in countries like China, India and South Africa. The potential in the second decade of biotech crop commercialization (2006-2015) is enormous.

Studies in India and China show Bt cotton has increased yields by up to 50 percent and 10 percent, respectively, and reduced insecticide use in both countries up to 50 percent or more. In India, growers increased income up to $250 or more per hectare, increasing farmer income nationally from $840 million to $1.7 billion last year. Chinese farmers saw similar gains with incomes growing an average of $220 per hectare, or more than $800 million nationally. Importantly, these studies showed strong farmer confidence in the crops with 9 of 10 Indian farmers replanting biotech cotton year on year, and 100 percent of Chinese farmers choosing to continue utilizing the technology.

While these types of economic benefits are well substantiated, the socio-economic benefits associated with biotech crops are starting to emerge. A study of 9,300 Bt cotton and non-Bt cotton-growing households in India indicated that women and children in Bt cotton households have slightly more access to social benefits than non-Bt cotton growers. These include slight increases in pre-natal visits, assistance with at-home births, higher school enrollment for children and a higher proportion of children vaccinated.

Rosalie Ellasus, a widowed mother of 3 children, found similar benefits, chosing farming as a way to support her family. “With the extra income generated from biotech maize, investing in farming made sense and allowed me to earn more than the medical technology field I was trained in,” she said. “The biotech maize gave me peace of mind and meant less time monitoring for pests. With stack corn, I also incur savings on cultivation and weeding costs. With the added income, I have been able to send all my children to college.”

“It’s these types of benefits that will make crop biotechnology a vital tool in achieving the U.N. Millennium Development Goals of cutting hunger and poverty in half and ensuring a more sustainable agriculture in the future,” James said. “To reach these goals, a continued broadening and deepening of biotech crop use is crucial to meeting food, feed, fiber and fuel needs in the future.”

In 2007, the United States, Argentina, Brazil, Canada, India and China continued to be the principal adopters of biotech crops globally. While the United States continues to be the largest user of the technology, its biotech crop area represents a declining share of the global area due to a broadening adoption. [Editor’s note: see ISAAA Country Fact Sheet for additional detail on specific countries.]

“With a dozen years of accumulated knowledge and significant economic, environmental and socio-economic benefits, biotech crops are poised for even greater growth in coming years, particularly in developing countries that have the greatest need for this technology,” James said.

According to the report, Burkina Faso, Egypt and possibly Vietnam are the next mostly likely countries to approve biotech crops. Australia is field-testing drought-tolerant wheat and two states recently lifted a four-year ban on biotech canola. Finally, countries like India recognize the importance of using biotechnology to make the country self-sufficient in food grains, including rice, wheat and oil seed production with the first biotech food crop, biotech eggplant, expecting approval in the near-term.

“I predict the number of biotech countries, crops, traits, area and farmers will all grow substantially in the second decade of adoption,” James said. “More developing countries are likely to approve the technology as it’s now possible to design regulatory systems that are rigorous without being onerous given their limited resources. The current delay in timely approvals of biotech crops like golden rice with benefits for millions is a moral dilemma where the demands of regulatory systems have often become the end and not the means.”

The report is entirely funded by the Rockefeller Foundation, a U.S.-based philanthropic organization associated with the Green Revolution; Ibercaja, one of the largest Spanish banks headquartered in the maize growing region of Spain; and the Bussolera-Branca Foundation from Italy, which supports the open-sharing of knowledge on biotech crops to aid decision-making by global society.

[JamesM]

Only problem is that Organic is growing faster on every continent, has more consumer support and is probably going to be the more influential lobbying force. And GM in its current form threatens farmers organic status, ummm... taking the long term view not looking so good now is it.

[Cricket Tragic]

Originally Posted by JamesM

Only problem is that Organic is growing faster on every continent, has more consumer support and is probably going to be the more influential lobbying force. And GM in its current form threatens farmers organic status, ummm... taking the long term view not looking so good now is it.

James, that statement is not correct. GM crop area has grown from 0 ha in 1995 to 114 million ha today. According to organic world net http://www.organic-world.net/images/...lgrafik_sw.gif the area of organic agriculture is now 30.5 million ha up from 6 million ha in 1995.

[JamesM]

I was referring to the time since the GM scandal broke ie 2000 onwards, Organic was practically unheard of in the UK at that time but now its everywhere.

"the area of organic agriculture is not 30.5 million ha up from 6 million ha in 1995.". Please correct the English in this sentence it is poorly written.

[UrbanFarmboy]

Originally Posted by JamesM

Only problem is that Organic is growing faster on every continent, has more consumer support and is probably going to be the more influential lobbying force. And GM in its current form threatens farmers organic status, ummm... taking the long term view not looking so good now is it.

Organic is 2% of the U.S. market and will not grow much beyond 5-10% for two reasons. 1, most people don't care about organic even if they can afford it. 2, many people are price concious and as food prices increase, the ability to pay an extra 20% at the check out counter gets even harder to stomach.

[bruce]

Interesting piece in this weeks Economist on this.

Agriculture | The next green revolution | Economist.com

[JamesM]

Here's a link :

Organic market growing, headed by fruit and veg

Looks like the people in the US are looking towards Organic as a healthy eating option, personally thats none of my business though. As long as everyone can choose what type of produce they want then what they eat is up to them.

[Cricket Tragic]

JamesM, you did very distinctly write that organic was growing faster on every continent. Organic agriculture in 2000 was about 15.8 million hectares http://www.soel.de/inhalte/publikationen/s/s_74_03.pdf . It has a little less than doubled in area in the 7 years since. GM area was 47 million hectares in 2000 and has more than doubled to 114 million hectares in 2007 ISAAA Brief 37-2007 - Executive Summary > ISAAA.org . Rate of growth of GM is faster than organic world wide. On most continents, it must be growing faster. Actually there is one continent where GM is growing slower than organic and that is Oceania.

[JamesM]

"Generally it can be said that apart
from Europe it is difficult to find exact
and up-to-date figures on the state of
organic farming in individual
countries. Often no figures (like for
almost all countries in Africa) are
available at all."

"In the case of Asia figures that
allegedly show the state of organic
farming are often figures for reduced
chemical input farming."

To quote the report you quote.