Ward's look at cause of global warming

[wardengineering]

Time running
The space program I began to write almost 40 years ago is obsolete as to available features existing today not available then. The program was written in Quickbasic and Btreive. It does not matter whether my theories are correct or not. The program analyzes the forces generated by planetary movement. These force change over time in a cyclic manner. There is an obvious correlation of the forces with dates and events on earth. For example, one could isolate all of the triggering conditions identifying them with the local areas of interest and animate them visually with digital special effects. The search mechanism depends on specific data from local areas. The data can be any seismic related events, weather related events or biologically related events. The areas of interest around the world could adapt the program to their history and prediction. I am the owner of the program with the only copywrite that comes with an idea. I am willing to make it available to any one that is interested in using it for public service. It can be analyzed as to structure and written in more friendly software.
Today, this type of software is the only long range forecasting tool available. Since it deals only with facts, it does not have the hype of the media or the political agenda of special interests.
There will be more records broken of heat, weather and seismic activity as the drought deepen. The runoff from rainfall will be faster and cause more flooding in unprotected areas. Water storage and water conservation is part of the future strategies as shown by an article appearing in the Ventura County Star – 8/24/07
By Timm Herdt, staff writer

SACRAMENTO — Global climate change will have dramatic effects on California's water resources, reducing the Sierra snow pack by at least 25 percent by 2050, decreasing spring runoff into the Sacramento-San Joaquin Delta and contributing to more severe droughts.

And state and local water agencies will have but one choice in dealing with all this: adapt.

That was the conclusion of experts who testified Thursday at a hearing of the State Water Resources Control Board — a hearing that Chairwoman Tam Dudoc called the state's "first formal forum on the nexus between climate change and water resources."

Lester Snow, director of the Department of Water Resources, testified that the effects of climate change are great unknowns as the state makes plans to meet future water needs.

Tim Brick, chairman of the Metropolitan Water District of Southern California, said the agency's experience in responding to the drought of the early '90s has provided "a model of adaptability" that will help meet future challenges.

"It's time to take water conservation, recycling and groundwater recharge to the next level," he said.

Noting that Southern California is experiencing the driest year since rainfall records were first kept in 1877, Brick said an intensive public education campaign is needed to persuade consumers of the importance of conserving water.

"We're not in the business of inflicting pain on people," he said. "It's difficult to tap people's consciousness because they don't see the drought."

He noted studies of the Colorado River watershed conclude that climate changes will result in a 10 percent to 40 percent reduction in river flows.

"What we now consider a drought is going to be a permanent condition by 2040," he said.

The content of the piece has the error that the net effect is there will be less storage in snow packs or glacier ice increasing instant runoff thus changing the nature of spring runoff.

[Gerbil Rebellion]

Ward, Is there a pattern with the events?
What I mean is with the corrolation between the movements of the planets and their precession across a certain point of the earth, is there a way of predicting that an event will happen at a certain point, or to be more precise along that precession?

So for example, the earthquake that just hit Peru, was there a similarity between the position of the planets then and the earthquake on boxing day a few years ago with the tsunami.

[wardengineering]

Yes, it can be predicted like the following.
Moon eclipse of 7-28-2007
A search of the data of historic earthquake locations and dates for California for possible location of earthquakes of magnitude 4 or greater that could occur on August 28, 2007 returned two possibles.
Monterey march 10, 1910 M6.0
Signal Hill October 2, 1933 M5.4
The moon will intersect the angle of Uranus on the 29 and opposite Venus on the 30th. Either one could trigger an earthquake everything will be in a releasing mode.
There is little doubt of an earthquake will occur somewhere in the area. There are a lot of factors that go to the location of an earthquake besides the forces involved. We have the surface information but we lack fault lines and angles of subsurface structures as well as the strain buildup. That will be discovered when the earthquake occurs.
The search with a smaller window than I used for the earthquake search against 1000 years of data had hit 5-8-1021. It would be interesting to search the records for the history of that time.

[Gerbil Rebellion]

Ok so with the moon eclipse happening tomorrow what would be the likely place, or within an area of say 500 square miles for an event?

[Windguy]

Originally Posted by Gerbil Rebellion

Ok so with the moon eclipse happening tomorrow what would be the likely place, or within an area of say 500 square miles for an event?

The total eclipse can be seen in Australia tonight, at a relative early time too, so I'll have to get the exact time and watch it.

[Gerbil Rebellion]

Originally Posted by Windguy

The total eclipse can be seen in Australia tonight, at a relative early time too, so I'll have to get the exact time and watch it.

Cool, seeing as you are ahead of us in time then it is understandable you are going to see it first, you are on the other side of the world.

I have heard it is going to be a blood moon as well which is an awsome site but have only been lucky enough to see one myself.

[Windguy]

http://sunearth.gsfc.nasa.gov/eclips...2007Aug28.html

http://www.smh.com.au/news/National/...067012202.html

Americans can watch it live on the internet with the nasa site I just posted.

[Gerbil Rebellion]

Cheers for the link windguy, will compare it to ward's prediction of the likelyhood of an event. Would it be fair to say magnitude 3.5 or greater (he has predicted 4.0 or greater) along the earth-moon alignment and the most likely place to be the western side of the US along the fault?

"The event is widely visible from the United States and Canada as well as South America, the Pacific Ocean, western Asia and Australia"

So according to the time the event is more likely to occur during the full eclipse 2.52am-4.22am PDT or 9.52am-11.22am GMT.

Would they be fair times and magnitude to watch for?

[cbacba]

The eclipse will be visible for whoever can see the moon at that time. Around 4pdt seems to be the middle of it.

Although the earth would not be habitable without the moon - or at least conditions would be far worse, I consider the moon to primarily be light pollution that virtually ruins almost 2 weeks of each month (or cycle).

[Gerbil Rebellion]

According to this the most likely place for an event on or soon after the eclipse is likely to be western coast of south america