Climate Change due to Global Warming – a hoax?

[Bored Wombat]

Originally Posted by cbacba

unfortunately for gcm total modelling, the phenomenon needs to be at a finer resolution to avoid missing out on that which determines the future averages.

Indeed no.

Modelling is pretty good with the averages.

And although the butterfly effect affects weather systems, it does not affect averages. Much.

[treekiller]

Originally Posted by Bored Wombat

Indeed no

Modelling is pretty good with the averages.

Do You have proof of this?

[cbacba]

I'm sure it works the best when yearly averages are inserted into the 20 minute recalculation cycles to calculate how the circumstances have changed over the last few minutes.

[Pman]

i aint noenvirmentalist but i agree that global warming is a hoax no collage or research papers support it only media articles

[forfi]

Are you by any chance related to vyc Mr Pman? he has the same quaint village-idiot idiom and manner,although more UK than USA in delivery.Maybe you are twins separated at birth in some cruel experiment to prove that imbecility is hereditary and not environmental.

[Pman]

maybe your a 40 year old virgen whos dog dosnt even love him

[forfi]

God ,don't you just love English as spoken ,sorry writen,by a native.

[Windguy]

Cbacba, I think we found a guy that lives in the roadkill belt USA.

[cbacba]

Originally Posted by Windguy

Cbacba, I think we found a guy that lives in the roadkill belt USA.

looks more like one of you pretending.

[nemesis9]

Originally Posted by cbacba

then maybe they should tell the weather forecasters how to do it so they can forecast whether it's going to be cloudy or clear tomorrow night, whether it's going to rain tomorrow, and what the temperature is going to be high and low to within 2 degrees.

when they do that, then they will have made some headway. otherwise they have a random number generator.

The UK met office uses a Unified Model to predict climate and weather. The model can be configured differently depending upon whether one is doing a weather forecast or a climate forecast. For a short term weather prediction, only the atmospheric portion of the model need be used, other portions of the climate model are held constant when performing a weather forecast.
However, for long term climate modeling these things cannot be held constant, such as ocean temperature, vegetation, sea ice, etc. Also, the resolution used is smaller for a weather forecast.

However, the climate models are also beginning to be used with greater resolution. As computing power increases, the climate models and the weather-forecasting models are expected to converge.