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Old 16th-April-2007, 10:09 PM
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Hi Simple.

Just a comment about the sun. You are correct in that solar activity has not altered appreciably for 30 years, so has had little influence on climate change over that time. However, it is still at an awesomely high level, and could drop at any stage, which would be a strong cooling influence. Some would-be prophets are claiming that past solar cycles permit a prediction of such a drop in 2030. I will probably still be alive to see it, if it happens.

I notice that the years 1880 to 1910 were a period of cooling, but with a small but clear cut CO2 rise. By comparison, the years 1910 to 1940 had a very similar degree of CO2 rise, but underwent very strong warming.

How is it that a very similar level of CO2 rise over the first 30 year period gave significant global cooling and substantial warming in the next?
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